Even though he wasn’t the Messiah, but a mixed-up mixed-race naughty boy, I Reckon Brian Cohen was right: we are all individuals, who should think for ourselves, and shouldn’t let anyone tell us what to do. And that includes Latin teachers.
In perhaps a surprising but related way in the middle of the last century, the US Military discovered the flaw of averages (thanks to this brilliant article for that headline). Despite taking 140 measurements of more than 4,000 pilots to better design the cockpit of their fighter planes, they found that, even consolidating data to just 10 metrics, literally no one was in the average range (middle 30%) on all dimensions. Even taking just three dimensions only improved that to 3.5%. They concluded that
If you’ve designed a cockpit to fit the average pilot, you’ve actually designed it to fit no one.
The End of Average, Todd Rose, 2016
This led to a whole new approach to design and engineering, creating adjustable seats, helmets and controls, meaning that each distinctly un-average individual pilot could make their cockpit fit them better. In real terms, this made planes more comfortable and easier to fly, leading to significantly fewer incidents and accidents.
Which might help explain why, after decades of limited technology and increasingly frustrated attention spans, marketers are now pursuing the apparent Marketing Nirvana that Steven Spielberg presented 20 years ago in Minority Report, of entirely personal ads, the mythical audience of one, seeing the right message for the right product at the right time, every time.
Of course we’re not here yet, nor do we want to be. 6 years ago KPMG had already identified a wide spectrum of attitudes towards this in their Creepy or Cool? study. Whatever futurists might think, many of us think otherwise.
And despite this professed desire for brands to get closer to individual customers, offering more personalised experiences with tailored and relevant content, the real world doesn’t seem to be working that way. This has long been obvious in the convergence of cars (especially mainstream Family SUVs) into almost identical shapes and sizes.
As a recent article by Alex Murrell brilliantly illustrates, we have somehow descended into the Age of Average.
…from film to fashion and architecture to advertising, creative fields have become dominated and defined by convention and cliché. Distinctiveness has died. In every field we look at, we find that everything looks the same.
Alex Murrell, The Age of Average, 2023
There’s an Airbnb design aesthetic, which is paralleled in contemporary offices and cafés in towns and cities everywhere. Indeed, city skylines and residential developments are more and more similar.
I bet you’ve stayed here, or at least somewhere like it…
And it goes on; media, book covers, even people are looking more and more alike – as Instagram-Face starts to dictate what ‘popular’ people look like, and want to look like for maximum clicks. Always reflecting and jumping on any given bandwagon, marketers have almost relentlessly homogenised their brands in recent years. While this might be more obvious for tech brands, I Reckon it seems at best counter-productive for ‘iconic’ fashion brands… is it really that important to be ‘easy to read online’?
R U OK, Marketing People?
The excellent people at BBH Labs talked about this 5 years ago too, lamenting the growing industry trend to devolve brand strategies into self-help manifestos. Fuelled by a dangerous cocktail of Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs, saturated markets of near-identical products, and the accelerating bandwagons of Diversity & Inclusion, countless brands have hitched a ride on the train of Encouraging Consumers to Be Whomever They Want To Be because, you know, WE SUPPORT YOU.
It’s easier and safer for marketers to let you work out if you like their brand, than it is for the brands to actually express any kind of personality or opinion. Because you might not like it, or someone on TikTok might be triggered, or something.
And then this happens (this is a joke, but only just).
Well I still believe in the doctrine of Distinctive Brand Assets, as preached by most of the Wise Marketing Types I like to pay attention to. Standing out so you can be more easily recognised and remembered, so associations are formed between brand names and logos and design and products. Which is why, for the longest time, I was a massive admirer of Audi’s marketing. From their amazing depiction of BMW-drivers as arrogant w**kers to the wonderful insight of “I’m a great driver, it’s everyone else that are the problem”, their ads had been witty and compelling, all based around the very German Vorsprung durch Technik. Now, Future is an Attitude, whatever that means.
Average in, Average out.
But there’s a snag in trying to stand out or be distinctive, because algorithms reward popularity, not plucky outliers. Popular-but-Inoffensive trumps Interesting-but-Quirky. So brands start to exist in echo chambers of their own making. They encourage their ‘audiences’ to express themselves, but for the purposes of our primitive Minority Report targeting they do that less in the places they go, the clothes they wear, the people they’re seen with or the cars they drive, but in their Likes and Shares. Brands suck in that information and chase it, anxious to reflect whatever it is they think that we like today. But they only get a fraction of what we like, as if the US Military had measured pilots’ head circumference but not their leg length.
The machine-learning AIs that control what we see, read and hear can only recognise that very partial incomplete version of self-expression and show it back to us, but they base their knowledge on everything they see, read and hear. And as Alex Murrell and others have made very clear, the places, clothes, people and cars they can see, read and hear about are converging towards homogeneity.
So that’s what we’ll see, and like, and they will show it back to us, and hope we like it, and them. And when we do, because we will eventually, they will congratulate themselves that they have connected with us, and we have engaged with them. But really, if different brands look more and more like each other, how will we know which one we liked?